I
have written about severe weather criteria before (Storm Warnings and the Public, Storm Warnings Revisited - Someone Must Have Listened, Storm Warnings and the Public- Revisited),
but this time I'm not going to talk so much about the criteria as
the reporting of severe conditions during Skywarn nets.
Probably since the beginning of
Skywarn nets, the net control operators have had to put up with
“nuisance reports.” These are reports that don't quite meet the
minimum criteria, but storm spotters, especially new or untrained
ones, will call in them in anyway. But neither the net controls nor
the National Weather Service meteorologists are looking for the kind
of information contained in the reports.
The
net control will still thank the spotter for the report, out of
courtesy. The Skywarn program depends on volunteers, and they
usually do not like to turn people away.
However, that is not true in every
area. Some places will accept reports only from registered members
of their group. While they do this to eliminate nuisance reports,
they might also eliminate credible reports from trained and
experienced spotters from outside their area.
Why
are nuisance reports a problem?
Several reasons.
First, they waste time. The time
the net control spends taking a nuisance report could be used to take
a report of more serious conditions.
Second, they waste the net control's
energy. During a severe weather event in a highly populated area,
reports will come in hot and heavy. Recording and forwarding those
reports to the NWS is work that requires energy.
Third, nuisance reports tend to
multiply.
Why
do people call in nuisance reports?
Most
that do have good intentions – they want to help!
Some
may do it out of ignorance – they don't know what the criteria are.
Others might be operating out of a misunderstanding, thinking that
conditions that are merely unpleasant constitute severe weather. Some might even think that the NWS wants to know where the severe
weather isn't occurring!
What
is the solution?
Up
to now, the usual response is to review severe weather reporting
criteria on a regular net after a Skywarn event, or maybe at a club
meeting. But I have seen this happen time after time with no end in
sight.
Oftentimes, the ones making the
nuisance reports miss the regular nets and meetings, and might not go
to the spotter training classes. Then, during the next severe
weather event, even though something more serious is going on, they
pop up with another nuisance report. And the cycle keeps going on
and on...
What
can be done?
In
the case of those who don't participate in the training, the regular
nets, and the club meetings, not much can be done except to get them
more involved. That will have to be done on a person by person
basis, and with a large amount of tact.
Beyond this, what else could be
done?
You
might have heard the saying, “Think outside the box.” Has anyone
ever considered rethinking
the box?
Let's look at how the severe weather
weather reporting criteria are presented. Usually, at the spotter
training and in the training materials, they will start with the
MINIMUMS for wind and hail, before moving on to the more serious
stuff.
I
believe that opens the door for a misperception of what the NWS is
looking for. When someone hears the criteria, they might not hear
the 58 MPH, or they might mistake quarter inch hail for hail the size
of quarters or larger. So, they think that any strong wind or hail
qualifies as severe. Also, since floods are major killers in severe
weather, torrential rain must qualify!
As
someone once pointed out, if you keep doing the same thing you've
always done, you are going to keep getting the same result you have
always gotten. To get a different result, you need to do something
different.
Therefore, I propose that the NWS
and its Skywarn partners change the way they present the severe
weather reporting criteria. Instead of starting with the minimums,
present them according to priority. That is, I mean from top
priority down: tornadoes, persistently rotating wall clouds, funnel
clouds, then flooding or damage, then large hail and potentially
damaging winds. Explicitly state that you are not interested in rain
or lightning.
Also, do this across the board, from
the training and training materials to the Skywarn net scripts.
Now,
I admit this policy won't stop all nuisance reports right away. I
believe it will take a while to take effect. But following this
policy consistently should reduce nuisance reports to a minor issue.
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